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of the ideas which he may attempt to put | violent. Hence there is no panic, and as forward. He is divested of the influence there is no panic, the action of the Govwhich belonged not to him but to his for- ernment is steadier and calmer, and even mer duties. The imagination of the people cannot apparently bridge the chasm between M. Thiers, the President, and M. Thiers the mere member of the Left Centre. He carries little or nothing with him to his new position but his power of speech. You might almost say of a French statesman that naked he entered office and naked again he left it the prestige he acquires in it attaching not to him but to the functions he discharges.

Majesty's Opposition." If France could ever organize a real parliamentary Opposition as powerful and semi-official as ours, we should no longer fear periodic spasms of revolutionary ardour.

in moments of danger there is none of that tremulous vibration which in France seems to unsettle everything when Government falls. Official weakness is oftener due to excessive fear of consequences than to want of sagacity. When the stake is too great, the player will vacillate; and that is just the case in France. Changes of Government are too revolutionary. They involve too much excitement, and being too big, the nerve of the Government seems to go at the It is easy to see how this feeling, mere prospect of them. Thus, the weakwhile it appears to strengthen the office ness of the Opposition really involves of a Minister in France really weakens first the arbitrariness and next the weakthe Government. It renders it virtually ness of the Administration. If M. Thiers impossible that there should be any inter- were now far more important than he is, mediate degrees between the Minister and Marshal Mac Mahon and the Duc de and the irresponsible politician. In Eng- Broglie were far less important than they land there are many such intermediate are, there would not be the same hectic degrees. The opinions of the adminis- excitement about official proceedings, trative class, even when out of office, which is another way of saying that there have a weight of an order altogether would be more calmness, prudence, and different from that of the opinions of pol- sense. The one great condition of force iticians who are not credited with any in a parliamentary Government is the official prestige. Mr. Disraeli, who real existence and influence of "Her speaks with the authority of a man who might any day be charged with the duty of governing, and who therefore is not supposed to say in Opposition what he will not adhere to on entering office, wields a public influence of a kind really intermediate between that of a Minister, and that of such a member of Parliament as Mr. Bentinck. This gradual shading off of the Minister's authority into the mere private member's, through the various stages of ex-Ministerial ability and competence, really lends a vast additionTHE author of a striking paper in the al strength to Government. In the first new Quarterly on the lessons of the place, what the Ministry and the leading French Revolution, a paper deformed Opposition bench agree about doing is only by its excessive and therefore uncertain to be done under any Govern- scientific dislike of modern Democracy ment, and this gives Ministerial action as typified in the Commune, tries to trace confidence and strength. In the next to a single source all the modern disasplace, the existence of a powerful and ters of France, and finds it in the passion recognized Opposition puts a great re- for Equality. We very much doubt if it straint on foolish Ministerial actions, and is to be found there, although it has bemakes the transition between one Gov- come almost a habit to make some such ernment and another much milder than text the ground-work of a political serit is in France, where a sort of revolu- mon. Equality before the law the French tion is needed to throw off the dead- do like, as do the English-who have weight of an unpopular Government. with a single exception secured it too— Now, as only a far less political exertion and something also of equality in exteris needful in England in order to change nal address, but we doubt their caring so the Government than that which is need- very much for equality by itself. Frenchful in France, so the expectation of the men have always conceded to officials change is far less alarming, and the not elected a prerogative which to Engchange itself when it is made is far less lishmen seems oppressive. They have

From The Spectator. THE CAUSES OF REVOLUTION IN FRANCE.

always conceded direct privileges to sol- new Government goes literally wild diers. They have always conceded as- under discussion. It cannot conceive cendency to the Church of the majority. either of liberty of the Press, or "liberty They have always maintained, with ex- of the Balcon," or liberty of the Tribune, traordinary fierceness and malignity, the that is to say, of either the right of rights of property, where not feudal, and free printing, or free meeting, or free dehave always shown a disposition to bow bate. Members of the minority in down before wealth not yet manifested France have never been thoroughly to the same extent in Great Britain. A heard. They have always been suprich man is a potent man in France, pressed, either by threats, or insults, or while here, at best, he is a conspicuous factious uproar. On Tuesday, for exone. Titles, as the Quarterly Review ample, this new Government, with its admits, have proved indestructible, and strong and despotic majority, full conno income-tax has had a chance of legis- trol of the Executive, command of the lative support. It is true, a party in Army, and state of siege in Paris, brought France, energetic, domineering, and in- in a mad Bill, which commanded the clined to fight, has always pleaded the Twenty-five who represent the Assembly cause of equality; but physical force, during a recess to prosecute any newswhether expressed through the vote or paper criminally which reported a speech the bayonet, has always been on the side calling for the dissolution of the Assemwhich promised what Frenchmen believe bly. It was a scandalous proposal, for it to be material order. Is it not rather the would authorize a sentence of four morbid self-esteem, or sensitiveness, or months' imprisonment on a journalist sense of honour common to the French who reported a grave speech of the kind character, and not the worst quality in it, by Marshal MacMahon, President of the which has produced the difficulty de- Republic; or an approving sentence by the scribed by the Reviewer of combining Comte de Paris, the wished-for King; or Order with a free Monarchical or a Con- an eloquent piece of advice from M. servative Republican form of govern- Thiers, who may be elected by fifty department? Frenchmen are, except under ments; or a roaring diatribe by Jacques tremendous pressure, absolutely incapa- Bonhomme, delivering his mind in a dirty ble of bearing with the cardinal condi- cabaret. It was a sheer act of despotism, tion of political progress, free discussion. and was acknowledged to be one. Well, The Kings who were obeyed for a thou- of all men, M. Gambetta was the man to be sand years never permitted it, even Louis heard about that, for he had been DictaXVI. sentencing Beaumarchais to im-tor, he was not very favourable to the prisonment for an imaginary lampoon. Press, and he was known to advise a The statesmen have always fancied, as policy of calm. He began his speech, regards the Press, that they are dishon-saying nothing all through but what Mr. oured by an attack, and while the Pom- Bernal Osborne might have said of his padour sent authors to the galleys for enemies, amidst their approving laughter; cutting jokes, Robespierre left in his but what he said seemed unendurable to desk a plan for guillotining all but friend- the Right, who put up M. Ernoul to ly journalists in one batch. It was answer it, and failing as their friends adamong the most curious proofs of the mit they always fail in Parliament, creatsmall amount of French feeling in Napo-ed such a fearful hubbub that at last the leon III. that he never, as Emperor, sitting was closed. We do not say the severely punished a journalist, the usual Left did not join in the riot, on the consentence being four month's imprison- trary, they broke out of M. Gambetta's ment in St. Pélagie, to be taken when hand, and raised a clamour which would you liked as a first-class misdemeanant; have justified M. Buffet in putting on his that he enjoyed though he suppressed hat, but that is not the point. Every caricatures of himself, and that he con- President of a French Assembly- Grévy stantly pardoned Rochefort, whose half- included—has had to put on his hat and childlike, half-poisoned epigrams would declare the sitting concluded. The dishave lashed Bismarck into fury, and cussion for which the Assembly is creatmade an English Minister long for un-ed always strikes either the minority or constitutional privileges. He bore a free | majority as a deliberate insult, and has press, really free, for five months under always to be brought in some fashion to Ollivier, and was the only Frenchman an end. If it is in the Press, the paper who ever did so. Thiers suppressed two is put down; if in a meeting, the speak papers, and winced under attack, and the ers are criminally prosecuted; if in the

Assembly, the session is declared closed, how long she waited, without loss of one or members howl till they are hoarse. jot or tittle of her passion.

The very notion that discussion does no
harm, but good, that if debate is free, all
can hit as hard as they like, is as foreign
to the Deputies' minds as the idea of
obeying their own elected Speaker,
whether he is right or wrong, reserving a
right to remove him if he is intolerably
partial. It is this inability as of public
school-boys to bear public scolding which
seems to us the danger of France, and
not any desire for a potential equality.
It is not inability to bear argument. A
bureau will listen calmly to statements
which cut like sword-thrusts without a
yell, and the members of a Conseil de
Famille will sit like judges under a storm
of insult, weeping, and protestation, but
the French cannot bear to sit under hard
words publicly. Then they sound like
insults, to be answered by the sword, and
it is only by an allusion to the singular
basis of common-sense in the French
character that we can explain why weap-
ons are never actually drawn in the As-
sembly. Why do the majority not kill
the minority out, and so terminate the
fracas? It would not be one whit more
unfair. Scenes of this kind are fatal to
France, for France has no idea of free-
dom except under an Assembly, and no
idea how to keep that Assembly, if free,
in decent order. It has never elected a
ruler absolute within a limited preroga-
tive. No Assembly there submits to
rules when once insulted by free debate,
till France, raging with contempt, elects
a tyrant, and then breaking loose from
him, begins to rage again through an
Assembly in an everlasting sterile round.
The Government Bill in this case is a
monstrous oppression, but still it is the
Bill of the majority, and the Left should
accept it as such, instead of howling like
demons over their defeat. They are
nearly equal to their foes, their own right
of speech in the interior is clear, and they
can influence opinion by quiet talk almost
as strongly as through the Press. Their
majority is inevitable if no coup d'état is
tried, and a coup d'état requires the sup-
port of an army which, be it what it may,
is not devoted to the dynasties whom the
majority wish to enthrone. They are
mad, to abandon the policy of Order
which M. Thiers impresses on them, and
to wince, and rage, and foam under in-
sults which fall on their more trusted
leader, with his Genoese blood, like flakes
of snow. They cannot wait, they say, or
they will lose their fervour. Ask Venice'

From The Pall Mall Gazette.

THE DISRUPTION OF PARTIES AND THE
IRISH REPRESENTATION.

THE disorganization of the present House of Commons is now so complete that no parallel to it can be found except by going back to events only just within the memory of the elder men of this generation. The first House of Commons elected after the first Reform Bill had a very strong resemblance to the House elected in 1869, and it included the same vast majority which went to pieces in the same way. It has become evident that English parliamentary institutions, which are never so much put to the strain as after great organic changes such as occurred in 1832 and 1867, will only work with decent regularity and smoothness under two sets of conditions. The assembly which really governs the country has no counterpart in any similar body in any country as respects the multitudinousness of its composition, and it can be made to transact the business of government with exactness when one side has a very great majority over the other. In that case the House of Commons, so to speak, works itself. The House of Commons can again be worked under very different circumstances, when both sides are very nearly balanced, when the two great parties sit watching one another like hostile armies, and when all the resources of parliamentary management are systematically and patiently used to seize the smallest chance of advantage and to prevent a surprise. Neither state of things now exists. Mr. Gladstone's great majority is practically gone, not so much from the discontent of small sections such as the pure Whigs or the pure Nonconformists, as from the unconcealed disaffection of the Irish members, who are said to be so constantly on the look-out for opportunities of joining the Opposition that they positively frighten the Conservative leaders. On the other hand, the period of skilful tactical management has not yet arrived. On the Liberal side, at all events, the evidence points to the extremest slackness or unskilfulness, or rather the tactics are those of generals at the head of a beaten and dissolving army.

It is a favourite topic of consolation

with men of both political parties that the anything like a closer approximation of next general election will set all this the Papal and Nationalist party to the right. We do not share the belief. The Conservative. Among the least of them increasing disposition of the Irish mem- we place the sense of obligation to the bers to organize themselves as a sepa- Liberals; for, in fact, the repudiation of rate party, and to make terms with either all gratitude to them is the first and funside indifferently, seems to us one of the damental tenet of the Home Rule faction. most serious symptoms of our times. But, to many important sections of the We have the smallest possible faith in Conservative party, the alliance above the prognostications of ardent partisans pointed at would be absolutely hateful, about the composition of the next Par- It will be long before the Church of Engliament, but certain broad assertions may land looks back with patience on the disbe confidently made. The representa- establishment of the sister Church, and tion of Scotland will be very slightly the stanch band of Irish Protestant Conchanged, if at all. In England there will servatives, for which the more old-fashin all probability be a very considerable ioned portion of the English territorial transfer of seats from the Liberal to the aristocracy has strong affinities, would Conservative interest. The British rep- regard measures adapted to "Irish ideas" resentation will therefore be very near- simply as the abomination of desolation. ly divided between the two great politi- But there are various reasons why the cal parties, and it is immaterial to con- approximation we have spoken of should sider which of them is likely to have an not be considered out of the bounds of advantage over the other; the difference possibility. In the first place, all politimust be small. The state of the Irish cal tendencies are becoming more and representation will therefore be all-im- more cosmopolitan, and those of the portant, and it is tolerably clear what its English Conservatives like the rest of colour will be. All its members will be the world. Outside England, Conservapledged to some form of Home Rule, tism, Catholicism, and Clericalism are inand a few of them to a form of it distin- terchangeable terms; and strong as are guishable from Fenianism only by the the historical influences which separate faintest shades. It is even possible that them here, they are not all-powerful; for one or two seats now held by Protestant when an English Conservative nobleman Conservatives will be won by Home has been grappled by the long filaments Rulers. Beyond the limits of the North- of the Roman Catholic converting maern Province, however, every single Irish chinery in this country, he obviously member will have openly or impliedly finds no difficulty in continuing to vote acquiesced in the claims of the Catholic with the Conservative party. Indeed, Episcopate to dictate Irish policy. There careful observers may remark that from are some, no doubt, who see no danger time to time a Roman Catholic prelate in all this to Liberal ascendency. When takes care to make the prospects of his Home Rulers first made their appear- Church safe by laying down that its alance in the House of Commons they are liance with Liberalism in this country is known to have delighted the Liberal temporary, accidental, and provisional. whips." They might have strange But a still more powerful influence which opinions on some points, but they voted tends to modify the relation of the Papal remarkably straight. But that is all and Nationalist members to existing changed; and while the whole Irish rep- parties is the strong attraction of the resentation is drifting towards Home" Irish idea" policy for large classes of Rule, it is also more and more divorcing minds. The historians of Ireland tell us itself from English Liberalism, and show- that this is an old story, and that if Ireing a more and more pronounced incli- land, her life and her notions, have often nation to set up in political business for been abhorrent to the English nation, itself. We expect not only that these they have constantly been attractive in the tendencies of the Irish members will be- highest degree to Englishmen as individcome more and more marked in the new uals. There are all sorts of elements in Parliament, but that they will become the thought and feeling of the present their distinctive tendencies. If this ex-day for which such a policy has affinities. pectation is fulfilled, we say again that It commends itself to the sentimental reno graver political symptom has appeared in our time.

66

We are very far from insensible to the many difficulties which seem to forbid

spect felt by numbers of men for the newborn theories of the rights of nationalities. It falls in with the equally powerful laissez-faire, or devil-take-the-hindmost,

set of principles. It saves trouble, it appeals to the emotional side of character, and it has an air of novelty and originality. By one of these characteristics it has laid hold of Mr. Gladstone; by another it may lay hold of Mr. Disraeli.

The

Nothing of the kind occurred. numbing sense that they were fighting the irresistible the feeling which Theodore expressed when he said he could not be expected to resist weapons like the rockets, which kept searching out his palisading- seems to have struck the Khivese, and from first to last they never offered serious battle to the invaders. If the desert turned them back, well. If From The Spectator. not, God had ordered the victory of the THE CONQUEST OF KHIVA. Infidel. If a body of Khivese cavalry THE grand fact made evident by the approached the Russians they were driven conquest of Khiva, now officially ascer- off by a few rockets, which they probably tained, is the weakness, moral and physi- had never previously seen, and which will cal, of the soldiery of Central Asia. With sometimes drive horses mad with terror. their flight before inferior foes expires a If the Russians threatened a fortified superstition which has lasted down from place, the garrison, after receiving a shell the siege of Vienna in 1529, the belief or two, decamped in a body, and at last that at some always receding point in Khiva itself was surrendered uncondiCentral Asia there would be found an tionally without a shot, and with an intiarmy capable of defeating Europeans. mation that the Khanate also was at Somewhere or other there must be force Russian service. The defence was that in those regions, which had twice sent of men whose hearts were broken. The out their myriads to ravage Europe. Turcomans are not cowards, they have When a new country was conquered, say fought well in intestine wars, they belong by Clive, with 3,000 men, or a "hidden to tribes whose life is passed in the saddle capital entered like Pekin, by a few bri- and on the desert, who under competent gades of English and Frenchmen, or a leaders once conquered "the world," who vast State like Persia compelled to sub- do not differ in any outward condition mit to Outram and his few men, or Japan from the Kashgarees, who seem to be compelled to alter her whole policy by a building an empire in Yarkund, and who, few war-ships, the inferiority of the Asi-if we have not forgotten Mr. T. Prinsep's atic organization was acknowledged, but paper about their fathers, he deemed forthe superstition only altered its locale. midable to the Indian Empire. They had One-half of the English people still speak | fair arms, and strong walls, and large of Afghanistan as if it were some mighty numbers. They are only dismayed by State, whose friendship or enmity were of the last importance; and if Sir H. Rawlinson or Lord Lawrence were to tell them what they know, that 10,000 men would conquer Afghanistan and hold it as securely as 7,000 police hold London, they would be simply disbelieved. Think, say unreflecting folk, of the hills and the valleys, which are really easier, far easier in a military sense, than those of Ceylon. About Persia and Turkey the people are no doubt more or less disenchanted, but about Central Asia the old opinion till yesterday still held firm. The people, fanatically brave, were defended by their deserts, by their rude but strong fortifications, and by their readiness to die at their Khan's summons. We ourselves, who certainly ought to have known better, believed that the Khan would defend Khiva as the old Sikh Moolraj, would have thrown his horsemen on the artillery, as we did at Chillianwallah, and have died sword in hand upon the ruins of his fort, as Turkish Pachas have so often done.

the contact with civilization, fly before it as we should all fly before genii; as Theodore fled before Lord Napier of Magdala, as the army surrounding Lucknow fled before Havelock and his brigade, or as hitherto the Anamese have fled before the French. So far as we can judge from the accounts as yet published, there is nothing except the danger of differences with England to prevent General Kaufman from annexing all Central Asia, and holding it as safely as the Governor-General of Tobolsk holds Siberia. Bokhara actually assisted him. The desert has been fatal to one column, but it has not stopped the march of three other columns, and with that march the deadly charm of the Steppe is disenchanted. The Europeans are rulers of the Steppe Road, they are masters of the spell which fetters the desert, the artesian well, and if Russia is resolute to maintain her possession, the route from the Caspian to Khiva can never be closed again except by war. As feudatories, or allies, or subjects, all of

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